Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
