Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Sandhausen win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SV Sandhausen in this match.
