Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jahn Regensburg would win this match.
