MX23RW : Sunday, June 1 21:45:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 8, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor

River Plate
0 - 1
Defensor


Nicolas Jourdan Bellion (39'), Quintana (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Montoya (52')
Soria (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 1-1 River Plate
Monday, February 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Monagas 2-0 Defensor
Wednesday, February 5 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawDefensor Sporting
28.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 27.02% (-0.233 -0.23) 44.9% (0.422 0.42)
Both teams to score 48.28% (0.55 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48% (0.762 0.76)56.51% (-0.765 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49% (0.61 0.61)77.51% (-0.61200000000001 -0.61)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.259 0.26)35.56% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.266 0.27)72.33% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.553 0.55)25.07% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.76300000000001 0.76)59.75% (-0.764 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 28.08%
    Defensor Sporting 44.89%
    Draw 27.02%
River PlateDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.08%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.91% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 12.33% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.53% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.89%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2024 12am
Gameweek 8
River Plate
0-1
Defensor

Camarda (45+2'), Fernandez (83')
Montoya (61')
De Los Santos (45+2'), Spinelli (90+3'), Barco (90+7')
Jul 19, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 6
Defensor
0-1
River Plate

Duarte (42'), Alvarez (78')
Lavega (21')
Lavega (61'), Ezequiel dos Santos Casuriaga (68')
Apr 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Defensor
2-1
River Plate
Rivero (7', 62' pen.)
Rodriguez (23'), Mansilla (39'), Soria (42'), De Los Santos (47'), Dawson (90'), Rivero (90+7')
Soria (56'), Guerrero (90+10'), Elizari (90+10')
Barone (90+5')
Cruz De los Santos (69'), Almeida (70'), Corbo (90+7'), Irrazabal (90+7')
Alfonso (90+10'), Cristobal (90+10'), Corbo (90+10'), Barboza (90+10'), Amoroso (90+10'), Cruz De los Santos (90+10'), Almeida (90+10')
Nov 30, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-1
River Plate

Barco (16'), Freitas (79'), De Los Santos (80')
Barco (29')
Dos Santos (62')
Vera (25'), Barros (77')
Jun 24, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
1-1
Defensor
Rocha (75' og.)
Vidal (47'), Garcia (87')
Barcia (7')
Dufour (30'), Abaldo (36'), Rodriguez (52')
Abaldo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2PenarolPenarol11002023
3Montevideo WanderersWanderers11001013
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5CerroCerro10100001
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
7Cerro Largo100123-10
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud11003213
5Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
6Boston RiverBoston River100102-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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