Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 3, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 1
River Plate

Alvarez (34')
Silvestre (42'), (57'), Betancor (60'), Abero (75'), Caceres (80'), Triunfo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Leon (90+4')
Ramos (88'), Rodriguez (90+1'), Alfonso (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 1-3 Liverpool
Saturday, November 30 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 River Plate
Sunday, December 1 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawRiver Plate
37.54% (0.846 0.85)30.83% (0.117 0.12)31.63% (-0.958 -0.96)
Both teams to score 39.73% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.21% (-0.439 -0.44)67.8% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.2% (-0.292 -0.29)85.8% (0.29599999999999 0.3)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (0.316 0.32)34.85% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (0.33 0.33)71.59% (-0.325 -0.33)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.969 -0.97)39.01% (0.97300000000001 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.926 -0.93)75.74% (0.931 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 37.54%
    River Plate 31.62%
    Draw 30.82%
CerroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.33% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.54%
0-0 @ 13.59% (0.22 0.22)
1-1 @ 13.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.82%
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 14
River Plate
1-0
Cerro
Galletto (79')
Zeballos (20'), Almeida (39'), Rodriguez (57'), Galletto (67')

Rabunal (45'), Alvarez (85')
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Villar (50'), Gonzalez (71'), Ramirez (73')
Villar (8'), Abero (29'), Berrios (55'), Ramirez (74')
Cruz De los Santos (12'), Lavega (30' pen.)
Salaberry (56'), Olivera (59')
Oct 8, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 4
Cerro
1-0
River Plate
Rodriguez (34')
Ramirez (88'), Lacoste (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
3-2
Cerro
Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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