Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
| 13.83% | 19.78% | 66.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% | 44.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.17% | 43.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.02% | 79.98% |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% | 12.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.46% | 38.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-1 @ 3.88% 2-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.11% 3-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.83% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.78% | 0-2 @ 11.84% 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 4.26% 1-4 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-5 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.15% Total : 66.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 50 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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