Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 43.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
43.61% | 28.63% | 27.75% |
Both teams to score 43.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.79% | 62.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.11% | 81.89% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% | 64.12% |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.05% | 38.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% | 75.67% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.62% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.52% Total : 27.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |