Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.