Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
