Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
