Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 68.72% ( | 17.71% ( | 13.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( | 35.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( | 57.48% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.63% ( | 9.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.45% ( | 31.54% ( |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( | 38.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.85% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 3-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 4-0 @ 4.71% ( 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.72% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.71% | 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 45 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 115 | 42 | 73 | 110 |
| 2 | Notts County | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 116 | 41 | 75 | 106 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 45 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 77 | 52 | 25 | 81 |
| 4 | Woking | 44 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 79 |
| 5 | Barnet | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 74 |
| 6 | Bromley | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 70 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Eastleigh | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 66 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 60 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 60 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 |
| 13 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 57 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 57 |
| 15 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 65 | 90 | -25 | 54 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 53 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 52 |
| 19 | York City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 47 |
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 40 |
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 45 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 34 |
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 45 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 45 | 100 | -55 | 25 |
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