Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 46.76% ( | 25.03% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% ( | 48.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( | 70.68% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( | 31.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.39% ( | 67.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 46 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 97 | 38 | 59 | 102 |
| 2 | York City | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 95 | 42 | 53 | 96 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 83 |
| 4 | Rochdale | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 44 | 25 | 74 |
| 5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 73 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 70 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 67 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 62 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 64 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 60 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 60 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 58 |
| 15 | Woking | 46 | 13 | 19 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 58 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 57 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 56 |
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 56 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 55 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 76 | -20 | 53 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 52 |
| 23 | Fylde | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 40 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 22 |
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