Major League Soccer
Apr 22, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy4 - 3Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vancouver 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
10
We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes
These matches tend to produce plenty of goals, and given the defensive deficiencies of each side, we expect to see the back of the net bulge a few times on Sunday. If it turns out to be a goal-fest, as we anticipate, that will favour the Galaxy, who are firing on all cylinders and have a lot more depth in the attacking third than the Quakes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.24% ( 0.48) | 22.62% ( 0.23) | 22.13% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
