Major League Soccer
May 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta4 - 2Cincinnati
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 18 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 18 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Atlanta United 0-1 FC Cincinnati
It is rare to see Cincinnati drop points from winning positions, and it is even rarer to see them repeat the same mistakes twice, which is why we expect them to be incredibly compact, while they have more than enough quality to take care of the Five Stripes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
45.07% ( -0.21) | 23.36% ( 0.05) | 31.57% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
