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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
34.04% | 26.34% | 39.62% |
Both teams to score 52.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% | 51.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% | 73.62% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% | 28.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.4% | 60.6% |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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