Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 42.01% | 25.8% | 32.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% | 50.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% | 72.02% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% | 23.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.28% | 57.72% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% | 29.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.81% | 65.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
