Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stockhorn Arena
Lugano3 - 0HJK Helsinki
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Lugano and HJK Helsinki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
45.59% ( 0.3) | 23.36% ( 0.1) | 31.05% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
