Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
-0.49) 
0.04) 
