Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and Patronato.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 35.5%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (13.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
