Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Patronato.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
