Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
