Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
