Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Union.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
