Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
