Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
