The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Nacional and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 24 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 24 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Boston River | 23 | 7 | 41 |
Last Game: Flamengo 4-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 20 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Atletico Goianiense | 20 | -13 | 17 |
| 20 | Juventude | 20 | -17 | 16 |
We said: Nacional 2-0 Atletico Goianiense
Nacional's form on their own turf heading into this one means that it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a home win. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively comfortable victory and take a significant lead into the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
48.88% ( -0.09) | 23.91% ( 0.05) | 27.21% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
