Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional4 - 4Atletico Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 46.29% | 23.37% | 30.34% |
| Both teams to score 61.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
