
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 2am UK
Arnos Vale Ground

St Vincent & Gr.2 - 3El Salvador
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and El Salvador.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-0 Montserrat
Sunday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: El Salvador 2-1 Bonaire
Monday, September 9 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, September 9 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | El Salvador |
| 29.4% ( | 24.16% ( | 46.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( | 44.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% ( | 66.43% ( |
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.22% ( | 63.77% ( |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( | 19.12% ( |

