World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
St Vincent & Gr.1 - 3El Salvador
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and El Salvador.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Suriname 4-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Wednesday, June 5 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Wednesday, June 5 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: El Salvador 0-0 Puerto Rico
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | Draw | El Salvador |
50.16% ( 0.53) | 23.95% ( -0.1) | 25.89% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
