Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

El Salvador are capable of making this a competitive match, which is what Peru will want in their final match before the Copa America, but we are expecting the White and Reds to record a comfortable victory to make it five successes over El Salvador in seven meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Peru
51.07% ( 0.99)	28.07% ( -0.21)	20.86% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 39.38% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.36% (

0.02)

64.63% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.36% (

0.02)

83.63% (

-0.02)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

0.48)

25.76% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.29% (

0.65)

60.71% (

-0.65)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.04% (

-0.82)

46.95% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

-0.63)

82.45% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

El Salvador 51.06%

Peru 20.86%

Draw 28.06%

El Salvador	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 16.4% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 51.06%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.86%