Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 9.84% | 15.5% | 74.66% | 
| Both teams to score 51.19% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.93% | 35.07% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.92% | 57.07% | 
| Schalke 04 Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.61% | 44.39% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.56% | 80.44% | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.04% | 7.95% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.91% | 28.08% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 2-1 @ 2.95% 1-0 @ 2.87% 2-0 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.85% Total : 9.84% | 1-1 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 3.73% 0-0 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.5% | 0-2 @ 11.31% 0-3 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 7.76% 0-4 @ 6.05% 1-4 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 3.06% 1-5 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-6 @ 1.29% 1-6 @ 1.05% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.92% Total : 74.66% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 | 
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 34 | 
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 31 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 | 
| 12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 | 
| 13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 | 
| 15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 | 
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 | 
| 18 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 | 
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