Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
