World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 6.30am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Samoa0 - 8New Zealand
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Samoa and New Zealand.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Samoa 0-3 Tahiti
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 8-1 Vanuatu
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 83.71%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Samoa had a probability of 5.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 0-4 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Samoa win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samoa | Draw | New Zealand |
5.42% ( 0.68) | 10.87% ( 1.25) | 83.71% ( -1.93) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
