MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 05:16:14| >> :120:47486:47486:
Malta national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Finland national football team

Malta
0 - 1
Finland


Shaw (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antman (38')
Peltola (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Malta and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Malta 0-0 Andorra
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Malta 2-0 Finland

Malta have been exceptional at the back, and they could have success against Finland's struggling forward line. The visitors have also been poor away from home, and their form on the road should make the hosts clear favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
MaltaDrawFinland
52.14% (0.533 0.53) 26.77% (-0.488 -0.49) 21.08% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.67% (1.124 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.5% (1.495 1.5)60.5% (-1.497 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38% (1.116 1.12)80.62% (-1.117 -1.12)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.896 0.9)23.42% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (1.282 1.28)57.42% (-1.282 -1.28)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.73% (0.826 0.83)44.27% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65% (0.665 0.66)80.35% (-0.667 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Malta 52.14%
    Finland 21.08%
    Draw 26.77%
MaltaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 15.05% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 52.14%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.37% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 5% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.08%

How you voted: Malta vs Finland

Malta
53.3%
Draw
10.0%
Finland
36.7%
120
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Finland
0-0
Malta
Pukki (13', 27'), Taimi (23'), Jensen (85'), Soiri (88')
Pirinen (66')

Schembri (24')
rhs 2.0
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