UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
1 - 0
Finland

Ferguson (45')
O'Dowda (4'), Knight (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Finland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Finland
53.82% ( 0.23)	25.65% ( -0.17)	20.53% ( -0.07)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Finland
1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.81%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.53%