Greece

2 - 0

Rep. Ireland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.