Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
May 9, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional1 - 0Fenix
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Fenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Fenix |
| 58.38% | 24.22% | 17.4% |
| Both teams to score 43.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% | 55.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% | 77.01% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% | 19% |

