Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 80.45%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.