Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
