Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
