Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
