Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.
