Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
