Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
