Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
