Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
