Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
