Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
