Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Juventus |
| 30.62% | 24.9% | 44.48% |
| Both teams to score 56.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% | 46.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% | 68.99% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.58% | 64.43% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% | 21.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.15% | 53.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.75% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 25 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Udinese | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Monza | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
| 11 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 | Empoli | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 27 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 18 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 12 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
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