Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Roma |
| 63.61% | 19.08% | 17.32% |
| Both teams to score 60.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% | 55.93% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% | 10.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.51% | 33.5% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% | 32.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 7.4% 3-0 @ 6.64% 4-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 3.79% 4-2 @ 2.35% 5-1 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.27% Total : 63.61% | 1-1 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-1 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.99% Total : 17.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 65 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 25 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 48 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | Roma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Juventus | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 35 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Udinese | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Monza | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
| 11 | Torino | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 | Empoli | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 27 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 18 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 12 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 24 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 12 |
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